ProbablyThe on-chain prediction market application built on real-time events and changing expectations announced its launch today. TxFlow L1 Through TxFlow Improvement Protocol 3, known as TIP3. At launch, Probly supports more than one 5,000 events and 12,000 markets across six current categories: World Cup Sports, Geopolitics, Crypto, Finance, Economy and Politics. As of July 13, 2026, There are probably 172 active live markets available For same-day trading led by high-frequency Crypto “Up or Down” swing markets across BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP. These markets run on five-minute, 15-minute, one-hour and four-hour cycles, and each live market is marked with a LIVE badge and real-time countdown. Sports live markets are expected to open from now on.
Before It Happens: On-chain Signals of What Happens Next
The name probly comes from the word “probably” that people use when the outcome of an event remains uncertain. It also inspires P(A)Mathematical notation used to represent the probability of an event. Each Probly market reflects changing expectations based on ongoing market activity and newly available information.
Before an event reaches its final outcome, the interface shows how the relevant probability indicator evolves over time. Probly brings together live event information, probability transactions, event timelines, countdowns, and resolution details in a streamlined interface designed to reduce the technical complexity often associated with on-chain implementations.
Probly’s current market coverage includes World Cup Sports, Geopolitics, Crypto, Finance, Economics and Politics; category classification is subject to constant adjustments as the platform expands. The live market offering currently focuses on constantly refreshing short-term crypto prediction markets referencing BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP. It is probably the first prediction market application developed through TxFlow Improvement Protocol 3 or TIP3. TIP3 is the TxFlow L1 standard that defines how prediction market Channels are connected to the network. It likely uses TxFlow L1 to execute the application and record relevant market, settlement and payment data on-chain.
The Rise of On-Chain Prediction Markets for Crypto and Real World Events
Prediction markets are gaining increasing attention as tools to organize event-based information, measure changing expectations, and provide real-time probability signals. There are many controversial platforms in the industry such as Polymarket and Kalshi. Their visibility has contributed to increased media and industry interest in prediction markets, event markets, collective intelligence, probability forecasts and real-time event information.
It probably enters the industry with a different technical architecture and works directly as an on-chain application from TxFlow L1 to TIP3. Under this model, probability indicators, market records, settlement information and USDC settlement processes can operate in a connected blockchain infrastructure environment.
Probably. Before It Happens.
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torygarcia@probly.com
Important Notice
This announcement is for general information purposes only. It does not constitute an offer, solicitation, recommendation or invitation to enter into any transaction, event contract, bet, derivative or other product.
Nothing in this announcement constitutes investment, financial, legal or business advice. References to market information, probability indicators, payment infrastructure or product functionality should not be interpreted as a recommendation to participate in any market.
References to third-party companies, platforms and products are provided for general industry context only. They do not imply affiliation, endorsement or partnership.
Probly’s availability, functionality, scope of activity, account features, wallet support and eligibility requirements may vary by jurisdiction. Access is subject to applicable laws, regulations, product guidelines, geographic restrictions and compliance requirements.
No one should access or use the application in a jurisdiction where doing so is prohibited or where unauthorized authorization is required.
Disclaimer: This is a paid post and should not be considered news/advice.
